NBA player props, hit rates, defense matchups and game lines

ArchivePicks NBA Props lines up every posted NBA player prop (points, rebounds, assists, threes and combinations) with how often the player has cleared that number over their last 5, 10 and full-season games. Lines are read from Courtside, Underdog, Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig, and preseason games are included as soon as books post them.

Game Lines compares moneyline, spread and total for each upcoming game across the books that post them. Each prop also shows how the opponent's defense ranks against that stat, and the player page splits the hit rate by home and road games and by recent form.

Statistics are loaded from NBA game logs every night, and lines are refreshed every couple of minutes. These pages are for information only.

How to read the NBA board

A hit rate is only as useful as the number behind it. Compare the L5, L10 and season columns: a player whose season rate is 70% but whose last five games are 40% may have lost minutes or a role, and the player page's game log shows whether that is true. Minutes matter more in the NBA than in most sports, so check a player's recent playing time before leaning on any average.

The defense ranking beside each prop says how the opponent has treated that stat so far. Early in a season it rests on very few games, which is why preseason games are not counted in the hit rates. Use it as context for the matchup, not as a prediction.

When two books post the same player and stat at different numbers, the line picker shows each book's line and price side by side. A one-point difference in a points line changes the hit rate, so compare rates at the number you would actually be looking at, and drag the line on the player page to test it. Lines older than 15 minutes are styled as stale. Read the guide to researching NBA player props for a full walk-through.

How it works: ArchivePicks is free to use, with no sign-up. Data: statistics come from api-sports.io game logs loaded every night. Lines come from Courtside, Underdog, Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig and refresh every couple of minutes; a line older than 15 minutes is marked as possibly out of date. Hit rates are explained in the methodology, and corrections go through Data Issues.

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NBA board: first 25 rows

Lines as of Nov 11, 07:49 ET. Each row pairs a posted line with how often the player has cleared that number over the last 5 games, the last 10 and the season, with the games counted in brackets. A hit rate describes the past; it is information only.

PlayerMarketLineL5L10SeasonMatchup
Ziaire Williams LALPts + Reb + Ast11.5 Underdog · Over -132 / Under -105100% (5/5)100% (10/10)100% (9/9)LAL @ MIL
Moritz Wagner BKN3-Pointers Made0.5 Courtside · Over -148 / Under +11280% (4/5)90% (9/10)90% (9/10)BKN @ NOP
Kenrich Williams OKC3-Pointers Made0.5 Courtside · Over -229 / Under +171100% (5/5)90% (9/10)91% (10/11)OKC @ POR
Trey Murphy III NOPAssists2.5 Underdog · Over -164 / Under +108100% (5/5)90% (9/10)89% (8/9)BKN @ NOP
Paul George BOSRebounds4.5 Courtside · Over -147 / Under +11260% (3/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)BOS @ TOR
Jerami Grant MEMAssists1.5 Courtside · Over -15080% (4/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)DEN @ MEM
Jrue Holiday PORSteals0.5 Underdog · Over -132 / Under -10560% (3/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)OKC @ POR
Georges Niang GSWPts + Reb + Ast9.5 Kalshi · Over -213 / Under +17080% (4/5)80% (8/10)82% (9/11)GSW @ HOU
Marcus Smart HOUSteals0.5 Underdog · Over -228 / Under +12860% (3/5)80% (8/10)75% (6/8)GSW @ HOU
Jarrett Allen CLEPts + Reb + Ast19.5 Kalshi · Over -156 / Under +13380% (4/5)80% (8/10)89% (8/9)CLE @ NYK
Josh Hart NYK3-Pointers Made1.5 Courtside · Over +117 / Under -15180% (4/5)80% (8/10)86% (6/7)CLE @ NYK
Kyle Kuzma MILAssists2.5 Underdog · Over +104 / Under -15780% (4/5)80% (8/10)82% (9/11)LAL @ MIL
Derrick White BOSSteals0.5 Underdog · Over -25080% (4/5)80% (8/10)82% (9/11)BOS @ TOR
Wendell Carter Jr. ORLSteals0.5 Underdog · Over -193 / Under +11880% (4/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)ORL @ UTA
Luka Doncic LAL3-Pointers Made4.5 Courtside · Over -102 / Under -12880% (4/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)LAL @ MIL
De'Anthony Melton GSWRebounds3.5 Courtside · Over +121 / Under -16080% (4/5)80% (8/10)73% (8/11)GSW @ HOU
Matisse Thybulle LALSteals1.5 Novig · Over -127 / Under -10480% (4/5)80% (8/10)75% (9/12)LAL @ MIL
Matisse Thybulle LALStl + Blk2.5 Underdog · Over +101 / Under -15280% (4/5)80% (8/10)75% (9/12)LAL @ MIL
Zion Williamson NOPSteals1.5 Underdog · Over +10860% (3/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)BKN @ NOP
Desmond Bane ORL3-Pointers Made2.5 Courtside · Over -169 / Under +128100% (5/5)80% (8/10)78% (7/9)ORL @ UTA
Trey Murphy III NOPReb + Ast7.5 Underdog · Over -141 / Under -107100% (5/5)80% (8/10)78% (7/9)BKN @ NOP
Ziaire Williams LALPoints8.5 Courtside · Over -112 / Under -11180% (4/5)80% (8/10)89% (8/9)LAL @ MIL
Tari Eason HOUPts + Reb + Ast14.5 Novig · Over -117 / Under -10860% (3/5)80% (8/10)73% (8/11)GSW @ HOU
Karlo Matkovic NOP3-Pointers Made0.5 Courtside · Over -189 / Under +14380% (4/5)80% (8/10)80% (8/10)BKN @ NOP
Jabari Smith Jr. HOUAssists1.5 Courtside · Over -128 / Under -10280% (4/5)80% (8/10)73% (8/11)GSW @ HOU

More: NBA props today · how the rates are calculated.