NFL player props this week: top hit rates for Oct 25
These are the NFL player props with the strongest recent history against the line a book is posting right now. A hit rate is how often the player cleared that exact number in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. Only players with at least 8 games in the last-10 window are ranked, so a 3-for-3 streak does not top the list. A hit rate describes the past; it is not a prediction. See the methodology for how every figure is calculated and the glossary for the terms.
Most consistent overs
Last-10 hit rate of 70% or better, among 1134 lines with a full sample.
| Player | Game | Prop | Line | Last 10 | Last 5 | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Thomas LV TE | LAR @ LV | Receptions | Over 0.5 (-104) | 100% (10/10) | 100% | 100% (3/3) |
| J.K. Dobbins DEN RB | DEN @ ARI | Rushing Yds | Over 29.5 (-317) | 100% (10/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT TE | PIT @ NO | Receiving Yds | Over 9.5 (-669) | 100% (10/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU WR | NYG @ HOU | Receptions | Over 1.5 (+164) | 100% (10/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU WR | NYG @ HOU | Receiving Yds | Over 9.5 (-163) | 100% (10/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA RB | KC @ SEA | Rushing Yds | Over 14.5 (+900) | 100% (10/10) | 100% | n/a |
| Aaron Jones MIN RB | IND @ MIN | Rushing Attempts | Over 10.5 (+106) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (5/5) |
| Austin Hooper ATL TE | SF @ ATL | Receptions | Over 0.5 (-113) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (4/4) |
| Austin Hooper ATL TE | SF @ ATL | Receiving Yds | Over 3.5 (-114) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (4/4) |
| Cameron Skattebo NYG RB | NYG @ HOU | Rushing Yds | Over 28.5 (-106) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (5/5) |
| Cameron Skattebo NYG RB | NYG @ HOU | Rushing Attempts | Over 8.5 (-115) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (5/5) |
| Cameron Skattebo NYG RB | NYG @ HOU | Rush + Rec Yds | Over 39.5 (+111) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (5/5) |
| Drew Sample CIN TE | CIN @ BAL | Receptions | Over 0.5 (-182) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (3/3) |
| Drue Tranquill KC LB | KC @ SEA | Tackles | Over 6.5 (-148) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (5/5) |
| Ian Thomas LV TE | LAR @ LV | Receiving Yds | Over 4.5 (+120) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (3/3) |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU WR | NYG @ HOU | Receiving Yds | Over 9.5 (-122) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Quentin Lake LAR S | LAR @ LV | Tackles | Over 5.5 (-164) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Trey McBride ARI TE | DEN @ ARI | Receptions | Over 6.5 (-144) | 90% (9/10) | 100% | 100% (6/6) |
| Brock Purdy SF QB | SF @ ATL | Rushing Yds | Over 19.5 (-104) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 83% (5/6) |
| Cooper Kupp SEA WR | KC @ SEA | Receptions | Over 1.5 (-285) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 83% (5/6) |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI QB | DEN @ ARI | Passing TDs | Over 0.5 (-376) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 83% (5/6) |
| Jonathan Taylor IND RB | IND @ MIN | Receptions | Over 1.5 (-270) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 83% (5/6) |
| Tyler Shough NO QB | PIT @ NO | Passing TDs | Over 0.5 (-335) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 83% (5/6) |
| Cameron Skattebo NYG RB | NYG @ HOU | Receptions | Over 0.5 (-193) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 80% (4/5) |
| Cameron Skattebo NYG RB | NYG @ HOU | Receiving Yds | Over 4.5 (+104) | 90% (9/10) | 80% | 80% (4/5) |
Most consistent unders
Lines the player has cleared 30% of the time or less over his last 10, so the under has been the better side. Odds shown are for the under.
| Player | Game | Prop | Line | Last 10 | Last 5 | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU WR | NYG @ HOU | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-809) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Vita Vea TB DT | TB @ CAR | Sacks | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA RB | KC @ SEA | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1329) | 100% (8/8) | 0% | 0% (0/2) |
| Tyler Goodson DAL RB | DAL @ PHI | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/3) |
| Tylan Wallace CLE WR | CLE @ TEN | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/2) |
| Trevor Etienne CAR RB | TB @ CAR | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/1) |
| Travis Homer PIT RB | PIT @ NO | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/4) |
| Tommy Togiai HOU DT | NYG @ HOU | Sacks | Under 0.5 (-625) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Tez Johnson TB WR | TB @ CAR | Receptions | Under 2.5 (-194) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Tez Johnson TB WR | TB @ CAR | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-614) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Tai Felton MIN WR | IND @ MIN | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1150) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/3) |
| Tahj Brooks CIN RB | CIN @ BAL | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/3) |
| T'Vondre Sweat NYJ DT | MIA @ NYJ | Sacks | Under 0.5 (-500) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Sione Vaki DET RB | GB @ DET | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1150) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Simi Fehoko ARI WR | DEN @ ARI | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Shaun Dolac LAR LB | LAR @ LV | Sacks | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/4) |
| Sam Darnold SEA QB | KC @ SEA | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1011) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Payne Durham TB TE | TB @ CAR | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (9/9) | 0% | 0% (0/2) |
| Patrick Queen PIT LB | PIT @ NO | Sacks | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/6) |
| Noah Gray KC TE | KC @ SEA | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-809) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Nikko Remigio KC WR | KC @ SEA | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Myles Price MIN WR | IND @ MIN | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1150) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Mitchell Evans CAR TE | TB @ CAR | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1011) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/5) |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL QB | SF @ ATL | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 (-1150) | 100% (10/10) | 0% | 0% (0/4) |
| Michael Carter TEN RB | CLE @ TEN | Anytime TD | Under 0.5 | 100% (10/10) | 0% | n/a |
Games on this slate
- CIN @ BAL · Oct 25 · 84 lines
- CLE @ TEN · Oct 25 · 109 lines
- DEN @ ARI · Oct 25 · 102 lines
- GB @ DET · Oct 25 · 105 lines
- IND @ MIN · Oct 25 · 106 lines
- LAR @ LV · Oct 25 · 101 lines
- MIA @ NYJ · Oct 25 · 96 lines
- NYG @ HOU · Oct 25 · 93 lines
- PIT @ NO · Oct 25 · 108 lines
- SF @ ATL · Oct 25 · 97 lines
- TB @ CAR · Oct 25 · 112 lines
- KC @ SEA · Oct 26 · 107 lines
- DAL @ PHI · Oct 27 · 64 lines
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