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NFL player props this week: top hit rates for Oct 25

Sunday, October 25, 2026 to Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 1284 posted lines across 13 games · refreshed Friday, October 23, 2026

These are the NFL player props with the strongest recent history against the line a book is posting right now. A hit rate is how often the player cleared that exact number in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season. Only players with at least 8 games in the last-10 window are ranked, so a 3-for-3 streak does not top the list. A hit rate describes the past; it is not a prediction. See the methodology for how every figure is calculated and the glossary for the terms.

Most consistent overs

Last-10 hit rate of 70% or better, among 1134 lines with a full sample.

PlayerGamePropLineLast 10Last 5Season
Ian Thomas
LV TE
LAR @ LVReceptionsOver 0.5 (-104)100% (10/10)100%100% (3/3)
J.K. Dobbins
DEN RB
DEN @ ARIRushing YdsOver 29.5 (-317)100% (10/10)100%100% (6/6)
Pat Freiermuth
PIT TE
PIT @ NOReceiving YdsOver 9.5 (-669)100% (10/10)100%100% (6/6)
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU WR
NYG @ HOUReceptionsOver 1.5 (+164)100% (10/10)100%100% (6/6)
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU WR
NYG @ HOUReceiving YdsOver 9.5 (-163)100% (10/10)100%100% (6/6)
Zach Charbonnet
SEA RB
KC @ SEARushing YdsOver 14.5 (+900)100% (10/10)100%n/a
Aaron Jones
MIN RB
IND @ MINRushing AttemptsOver 10.5 (+106)90% (9/10)100%100% (5/5)
Austin Hooper
ATL TE
SF @ ATLReceptionsOver 0.5 (-113)90% (9/10)100%100% (4/4)
Austin Hooper
ATL TE
SF @ ATLReceiving YdsOver 3.5 (-114)90% (9/10)100%100% (4/4)
Cameron Skattebo
NYG RB
NYG @ HOURushing YdsOver 28.5 (-106)90% (9/10)100%100% (5/5)
Cameron Skattebo
NYG RB
NYG @ HOURushing AttemptsOver 8.5 (-115)90% (9/10)100%100% (5/5)
Cameron Skattebo
NYG RB
NYG @ HOURush + Rec YdsOver 39.5 (+111)90% (9/10)100%100% (5/5)
Drew Sample
CIN TE
CIN @ BALReceptionsOver 0.5 (-182)90% (9/10)100%100% (3/3)
Drue Tranquill
KC LB
KC @ SEATacklesOver 6.5 (-148)90% (9/10)100%100% (5/5)
Ian Thomas
LV TE
LAR @ LVReceiving YdsOver 4.5 (+120)90% (9/10)100%100% (3/3)
Kayshon Boutte
HOU WR
NYG @ HOUReceiving YdsOver 9.5 (-122)90% (9/10)100%100% (6/6)
Quentin Lake
LAR S
LAR @ LVTacklesOver 5.5 (-164)90% (9/10)100%100% (6/6)
Trey McBride
ARI TE
DEN @ ARIReceptionsOver 6.5 (-144)90% (9/10)100%100% (6/6)
Brock Purdy
SF QB
SF @ ATLRushing YdsOver 19.5 (-104)90% (9/10)80%83% (5/6)
Cooper Kupp
SEA WR
KC @ SEAReceptionsOver 1.5 (-285)90% (9/10)80%83% (5/6)
Jacoby Brissett
ARI QB
DEN @ ARIPassing TDsOver 0.5 (-376)90% (9/10)80%83% (5/6)
Jonathan Taylor
IND RB
IND @ MINReceptionsOver 1.5 (-270)90% (9/10)80%83% (5/6)
Tyler Shough
NO QB
PIT @ NOPassing TDsOver 0.5 (-335)90% (9/10)80%83% (5/6)
Cameron Skattebo
NYG RB
NYG @ HOUReceptionsOver 0.5 (-193)90% (9/10)80%80% (4/5)
Cameron Skattebo
NYG RB
NYG @ HOUReceiving YdsOver 4.5 (+104)90% (9/10)80%80% (4/5)

Most consistent unders

Lines the player has cleared 30% of the time or less over his last 10, so the under has been the better side. Odds shown are for the under.

PlayerGamePropLineLast 10Last 5Season
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU WR
NYG @ HOUAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-809)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Vita Vea
TB DT
TB @ CARSacksUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Velus Jones Jr.
SEA RB
KC @ SEAAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1329)100% (8/8)0%0% (0/2)
Tyler Goodson
DAL RB
DAL @ PHIAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/3)
Tylan Wallace
CLE WR
CLE @ TENAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/2)
Trevor Etienne
CAR RB
TB @ CARAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/1)
Travis Homer
PIT RB
PIT @ NOAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/4)
Tommy Togiai
HOU DT
NYG @ HOUSacksUnder 0.5 (-625)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Tez Johnson
TB WR
TB @ CARReceptionsUnder 2.5 (-194)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Tez Johnson
TB WR
TB @ CARAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-614)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Tai Felton
MIN WR
IND @ MINAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1150)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/3)
Tahj Brooks
CIN RB
CIN @ BALAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/3)
T'Vondre Sweat
NYJ DT
MIA @ NYJSacksUnder 0.5 (-500)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Sione Vaki
DET RB
GB @ DETAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1150)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Simi Fehoko
ARI WR
DEN @ ARIAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Shaun Dolac
LAR LB
LAR @ LVSacksUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/4)
Sam Darnold
SEA QB
KC @ SEAAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1011)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Payne Durham
TB TE
TB @ CARAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (9/9)0%0% (0/2)
Patrick Queen
PIT LB
PIT @ NOSacksUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/6)
Noah Gray
KC TE
KC @ SEAAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-809)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Nikko Remigio
KC WR
KC @ SEAAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Myles Price
MIN WR
IND @ MINAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1150)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Mitchell Evans
CAR TE
TB @ CARAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1011)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/5)
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL QB
SF @ ATLAnytime TDUnder 0.5 (-1150)100% (10/10)0%0% (0/4)
Michael Carter
TEN RB
CLE @ TENAnytime TDUnder 0.5100% (10/10)0%n/a

Games on this slate

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