NBA player props, hit rates, defense matchups and game lines

ArchivePicks NBA Picks lines up every posted NBA player prop (points, rebounds, assists, threes and combinations) with how often the player has cleared that number over their last 5, 10 and full-season games. Lines are read from Courtside, Underdog, Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig, and preseason games are included as soon as books post them.

Game Lines compares moneyline, spread and total for each upcoming game across the books that post them. Each prop also shows how the opponent's defense ranks against that stat, and the player page splits the hit rate by home and road games and by recent form.

Statistics are loaded from NBA game logs every night, and lines are refreshed every couple of minutes. These pages are for information only.

How to read the NBA board

A hit rate is only as useful as the number behind it. Compare the L5, L10 and season columns: a player whose season rate is 70% but whose last five games are 40% may have lost minutes or a role, and the player page's game log shows whether that is true. Minutes matter more in the NBA than in most sports, so check a player's recent playing time before leaning on any average.

The defense ranking beside each prop says how the opponent has treated that stat so far. Early in a season it rests on very few games, which is why preseason games are not counted in the hit rates. Use it as context for the matchup, not as a prediction.

When two books post the same player and stat at different numbers, the line picker shows each book's line and price side by side. A one-point difference in a points line changes the hit rate, so compare rates at the number you would actually be looking at, and drag the line on the player page to test it. Lines older than 15 minutes are styled as stale. Read the guide to researching NBA player props for a full walk-through.

How it works: ArchivePicks is free to use, with no sign-up. Data: statistics come from api-sports.io game logs loaded every night. Lines come from Courtside, Underdog, Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig and refresh every couple of minutes; a line older than 15 minutes is marked as possibly out of date. Hit rates are explained in the methodology, and corrections go through Data Issues.

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